FIRST ALERT WEATHER: Evening Showers Then Sun for Thursday
Rain returns this weekend
A few light showers and drizzle have formed ver the Ozarks this afternoon. This moisture is very light but should last through the evening as a cold front pushes across the Ozarks. A few heavier showers may eventually form east of highway 65 but honestly even this is not a guarantee.
Clearing will take place after midnight with lows falling to the mid 40′s. A sunny but chilly day is forecast Thursday with highs in the low 60′s. A northwest wind will make it feel more like 50′s.
The wind turns quickly to the southeast on Friday as a warm front begins to form in southern Missouri. Warm air rushes back north and pushes the highs close to 70.
Deep moisture is now returning to the lower Mississippi Valley and this will also rush back north with showers and thunderstorms breaking out Saturday morning. This area of rain should lift north accompanied by the warm front. Lows Saturday morning will settle to the low 50′s with highs in the low 70′s.
Thunderstorms will again form over the Ozarks on Sunday. The three major models I follow agree that storms will form Saturday and Sunday but they disagree on where and how much. Hopefully these differences will be resolved over the next couple of days as the storm becomes sampled by the data network. Strong winds will form this weekend with gusts approaching 30 mph.
Warm weather is forecast for Monday and Tuesday as sunshine returns to the area. Highs Monday will reach the mid 70′s with highs near 80 degrees possible Tuesday. The long range models do agree on a rather potent storm that arrives next Wednesday. This storm may bring a round of heavy rain.